Discussion Forum
Forums | | Subject:Membership and safety stats and GA at Glendale tod     
Author Thread
Bob ThompsonStart of thread: posted - 11 March 2010 18:46
I’ve run into some “interesting” numbers dealing with flying / soaring / safety / new aircraft sales lately. Certainly, they provide food for thought, and stimulation for discussion.

1. Worldwide, including the US, and many US states, glider pilot numbers / members of glider organizations is down, and has been dropping fairly steadily since 1998. There are a very few exceptions. Worldwide, numbers in 1998 were 133,704 and 115,419 in 2009. For the US the numbers dropped from 32,645 in 1998 to 29,143. The ASA has had a substantially greater percentage drop, but has hopefully leveled off for now. Looking into all the various reasons for the drops in differing areas produces some interesting results.

2. The effectiveness of ELTs is DISMAL. Reports show a success rate of only 14%. Ask Steve Fossett about that one. On the more positive side, continuous tracking devices, like SPOT and the international Spiderwatch system, are having a FAR greater beneficial result rate. Had Fossett had one of these, his crash site would have most likely been found in hours, instead of years. In his case, rescue most likely would not have been a possibility, as his crash was so terrible, but recovery would have been facilitated probably within a day. Where someone survives a crash, a timely rescue is required, and SPOT and Spiderwatch appear to offer success and life.

3. New aircraft sales, both glider and GA, are mostly down, but there area a few positive areas of note in each. Some gliders are available from the factory almost immediately, and some are back ordered 3+ years. In virtually all cases, very deep pockets are mandatory. The 2 place electric self launching Taurus I was captivated with at the SSA meeting has made a hit world wide, and is back ordered over 3 years.

In GA, Beech has laid off lots workers making Bonanzas, yet they can’t make Barons fast enough to keep up with demand. I garnered some of my info on GA today, attending a rather “interesting” event I had been invited to at Glendale airport, promoting GA sales and Porsches…quite the combination. Both are doing most anything to prop up sales, and I took the day to suck up some of what they had to offer (for free). I spent some time sitting in / looking over in all sorts of aircraft, from a Bonanza to several Cirrus’ (including their new jet) 4 different biz jets and a P-51. I hope the P-51 that crashed today at Chandler airport wasn’t that one. I was disappointed that the Piaggio didn’t show up.
Porsche wise, I had a blast. They took us over to a closed road course the city of Glendale has built for police training, etc, and I got to tear around the course behind the wheel of a number of their vehicles, with a professional driver along, and several more times around with those guys at the wheel. 500 and 435 hp, along with 6 speed tranny and fat tires, can certainly provide some thrills. I haven’t gotten to drive like THAT in the last 40 years. The price tags on the vehicles (as well as the GA aircraft) were more than eye opening. The Panemera Turbo and 911 were AWESOME! FUN day. But... fantasy and pipe dreams are over. I'll just have to be satisfied with my Ventus and my F-150 to pull it around with (at legal highway speeds).